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The challenges of long-term economic forecasting in infrastructure transactions paper

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Published on 25 May 17 by VICTORIAN DIVISION, THE TAX INSTITUTE

This paper covers:

  • a consistent base case (a.k.a. the case against multipliers)
  • sensitivities, scenarios, and shocks
  • calibrating uncertainty
  • linking short-term forecasts with long-term forecasts.

Author profile

Darren Anderson
Darren Anderson became part of the Economics team with BIS Oxford Economics (formerly BIS Shrapnel) in 2012 and currently runs the Asset Sales unit. Darren has recently been managing Commercial Due Diligence reports in the trade and transportation sectors and is a key contributor to BIS Oxford Economics’ premier publications including Economic Outlook and Long-Term Outlook. Darren holds a Masters of Economics with Distinction from the University of Sydney, a Bachelor of Arts degree in Economics and International Relations from the University of Calgary, and has started a PhD in Microeconomics Theory with Queen Mary University of London. - Current at 18 October 2017

 

This was presented at National Infrastructure Conference .

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Individual sessions

The challenges of long-term economic forecasting in infrastructure transactions

Author(s):  Darren Anderson

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Valuation approaches in infrastructure: A valuer’s perspective

Author(s):  Michele Picciotta,  Stephen REID

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